Slow Walk to Another Global War?

Graphic: Co-Pilot

By Abdul Quayyum Khan Kundi

KARACHI, 1 Aug 2026: A global conflict is one in which a war between groups of nations has consequences that affect nearly every country in the world. By that definition, there have been two major global wars: World War I (1914–1918) and World War II (1939–1945).

After the creation of the United Nations in 1945, it was hoped that future global conflicts could be prevented through diplomacy and collective security. To some extent, the organization succeeded in reducing the risk of another world war, but it did not prevent major powers—particularly the United States and the Soviet Union—from intervening in weaker nations during the Cold War.

Unilateral actions by two superpowers, USA and USSR, often weakened confidence in the UN’s ability to resolve major international disputes. UN resolutions concerning issues such as Kashmir and Palestine were frequently ignored or only partially implemented, with limited consequences for the parties involved. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the United States emerged as the world’s dominant power. 

Critics argued that American influence over international institutions became particularly visible during the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. This period also encouraged other states to pursue their strategic and nationalist objectives with less regard for international norms and institutions.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 reflected its long-standing objective of maintaining influence in its near abroad and preventing further NATO expansion toward its borders. Many expected the United States to take a more direct role in countering Russian aggression, but Washington largely supported Ukraine through military aid, intelligence sharing, and economic assistance while European countries assumed much of the burden of regional security. 

Diplomatic efforts and economic sanctions have not succeeded in ending the conflict. Ukraine has nevertheless demonstrated remarkable resilience, aided by innovation and the development of relatively low-cost technologies that have proven highly effective on the battlefield.

As the Ukraine war continues, tensions increase in other regions of the world. 

The Middle East became another major theater of instability following the escalation of conflict involving Israel, Iran, and the United States. No credible explanation has been provided for the initiation of Iran war. Regardless of the motivations, the conflict has increased regional instability and heightened the risk of wider confrontation.

Some analysts argue that separate conflicts can gradually become interconnected through alliances, military cooperation, economic disruption, and strategic competition among major powers. Disruptions to shipping lanes, attacks on critical infrastructure, proxy conflicts, and expanding military partnerships can all contribute to a broader international crisis. 

If additional regional powers become directly involved, the risk of escalation increases significantly. There are many indications that Ukraine and Iran wars are now merging into one larger global conflict. This trend has to be immediately reversed.

There are several reasons why such conflicts can be difficult to contain through diplomacy. First, there is no universally trusted international actor capable of mediating among all parties. Second, many governments involved are driven by security concerns, domestic political pressures, ideological commitments, or perceptions of national interest that make compromise difficult. 

Third, several countries in conflict-prone regions face internal political divisions, weak institutions, or ongoing struggles among competing factions, making stable diplomatic settlements harder to achieve.

What is the solution? All parties must recognize that a wider global conflict would produce no true winners. Every nation involved would face severe economic costs, political instability, and human suffering. Rather than continuing down a path of escalation, governments should strengthen diplomatic engagement through multilateral negotiations.

A broad diplomatic initiative involving influential middle powers—such as Turkey, South Africa, Japan, Germany, and Brazil—could help create channels for dialogue. While these countries have different interests and alignments, they possess significant diplomatic, economic, and political influence and could contribute to efforts aimed at reducing tensions and encouraging peaceful resolution of disputes.

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