Shrinking Farms, Declining Yields: Pakistan’s Agriculture Under Threat

Cotton Field - Pakistan


ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s economy is under threat as rapid population growth, division of land among heirs, and unchecked fragmentation have dramatically shrunk farm sizes,  cutting large plots into smaller, less viable units that can no longer support farming or sustain rural livelihoods.

According to the first digital Agricultural Census conducted by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, the average farm size has dropped from 6.4 acres in 2010 to just 5.1 acres in 2024.

More than 64% of all farms in Pakistan are now under 5 acres. Around 5 million farms are smaller than 2.5 acres, and 1.29 million are below even 1 acre. These smallholders — the backbone of rural Pakistan — struggle to afford mechanisation, modern irrigation, or livestock scale-ups.

Agriculture contributes 23.5% of Pakistan’s GDP and employs around 37.4% of the workforce. The census warns the sector is losing ground due to shrinking land, poor technology adoption, and outdated systems.

On the other hand, there are few who control around 6% of the country’s agricultural land. Just 33,000 farms are 100 acres or larger and only 17,000 landowners control 3.65 million acres. 

This is the root cause of many challenges. Big landowners often get better access to loans, government support, and new technology. In contrast, most small farmers, with barely 2 or 3 acres — cannot afford modern tools or irrigation. 

This creates a wide gap between the rich and poor in rural areas, making it harder for small farmers to grow enough or improve their income. The imbalance also slows down land reforms and reduces the chance for fair development across the farming community. This concentration also limits access to subsidies, credit, and technology. Large landowners often benefit disproportionately from government schemes, while smallholders with limited land remain stuck in low-productivity farming. This imbalance also slows land reforms, fuels rural inequality, and limits inclusive growth across the sector.

Addressing the launch of the report, Federal Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal said Pakistan’s per-acre yield is far behind global standards. He pointed out that cotton production, once a key export, has dropped from 15 million bales to just 5 million. "We may not be able to achieve our $1 trillion economy ambition if agriculture continues to be ignored, " he warned.

Major Findings 

Punjab holds the largest number of farms,  — 5.05 million, covering over 31 million acres. KP follows with 4.17 million farms, Balochistan with 633,000, and Sindh with 1.82 million farms. Islamabad has 17,000 registered farms.

A major concern, mentioned in the report, is the fall in rain-fed (Barani) agriculture. The area under rain-fed cultivation has dropped from 8.4 million acres to 4.9 million in just 14 years. This trend signals growing dependence on irrigation systems. Only 0.3% of farms use drip irrigation and 0.6% use sprinklers. Only 19% of farms use tractors, while under 2% use modern machines like harvesters or planters. Most farmers still rely on animal or manual labour, limiting productivity.

Livestock numbers are high, but poorly distributed. Punjab leads with nearly 27 million cows and over 29 million buffaloes. Nationally, there are over 55.8 million cows, 47.7 million buffaloes, 95.8 million goats, and 44.5 million sheep. However, most rural households own very few animals, restricting milk and meat output.

Indicator

2024 Figure

2010 Figure / Note

Average farm size

5.1 acres

6.4 acres

Total number of farms

11.7 million

8.26 million

Cultivated area

52.8 million acres

+10.2 million acres

Farms under 5 acres

64%

Majority of new farms

Cotton production

5 million bales

15 million bales in peak years

Agriculture’s GDP share

23.5%

24.03% (2023)

Agricultural labour force

37.4%

FAO estimate


Provincial Snapshot: Where the Land Lies

Province

No. of Farms

Cultivated Area

Punjab

5.05 million

31.1 million acres

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

4.17 million

8.83 million acres

Sindh

1.82 million

9.19 million acres

Balochistan

633,000

8.83 million acres

Islamabad

17,000

Minor share

Farm Size Distribution

Farm Size

Number of Farms

Less than 1 acre

1.29 million

Up to 2.5 acres

4.04 million

Up to 5 acres

2.24 million

Up to 7.5 acres

1.01 million

Up to 12.5 acres

783,000

Up to 25 acres

357,000

Up to 50 acres

99,000

100 acres and above

33,000


Technology Use: Still Far Behind

Despite national and provincial subsidies, only 19% of farms use tractors, and less than 2% use modern implements like combine harvesters, planters, or mechanical seed drills.

Equipment

Percentage of Farms Using

Tractors

19%

Threshers

4%

Harvesters, planters

<2%

Animal/manual labour

75%+

Irrigation: Shift Away from Rain-fed Land

The census shows a sharp decline in Barani (rain-fed) land, which dropped from 8.4 million acres in 2010 to 4.9 million acres in 2024 — nearly halved in 14 years.

Irrigation Method

Share of Total Farms

Canal-fed

46%

Tube wells

30%

Rain-fed (Barani)

9%

Sprinkler systems

0.6%

Drip irrigation

0.3%

Livestock: High Numbers, Low Scale

Pakistan’s rural economy relies heavily on livestock, but most households own only a few animals. This limits milk and meat productivity.

Livestock Type

Total Population

Cows

55.8 million

Buffaloes

47.7 million

Goats

95.8 million

Sheep

44.5 million

Camels

1.5 million

Horses

553,000

Mules

296,000

Donkeys

4.9 million

Livestock by Province

  • Punjab: 26.9M cows, 29.5M buffaloes
  • Sindh: 11.2M cows, 13.4M buffaloes
  • KP: 13.5M cows, 3.9M buffaloes
  • Balochistan: 4.07M cows, 664K buffaloes
  • Islamabad: 1M+ cows, 120K buffaloes

Data Gaps: Census vs. Economic Survey

The report notes discrepancies between the census and the Economic Survey 2023–24. Officials attribute this to more accurate, door-to-door enumeration used in the digital census compared to administrative records used in previous surveys.

By Atif Khan


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