Trump's summit with Chinese President Xi, marks a potential turning point


ISLAMABAD: 29 Oct 2025: President Donald Trump's recent Asia tour is expected to culminate in a high-profile summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, marking a potential turning point in the enduring and complex US-China relationship that has long defined the geopolitical landscape of Asia.

China said that leader Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump will have "in depth" talks on "major issues" Thursday, as expectations grew for their high-stakes talks in South Korea.

Trump has said he expected their first face-to-face meeting of his second term to result in the United States lowering tariffs imposed on China in relation to fentanyl.

Beijing confirmed the face-to-face meeting on the sidelines of a summit of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC), which is taking place in the city of Gyeongju.

This bilateral dynamic has influenced regional power balances for nearly a century, compelling major Asian states such as India and Pakistan to navigate a delicate strategic terrain shaped by the rivalry and cooperation between these two superpowers.

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun told a regular news conference on Wednesday: 

"We are willing to work together with the US side to ensure that this meeting yields positive outcomes, provides new guidance, and injects new momentum into the stable development of China-US relations."

Historically, the US-China relationship has oscillated between phases of confrontation and engagement.

Since the normalization of ties in the 1970s, punctuated by landmark moments like Nixon’s visit to China, the two powers have cooperated on global issues yet also faced persistent disputes over trade, human rights, Taiwan, and security concerns.

The Trump administration notably escalated tensions with a trade war marked by tariffs and mutual economic restrictions, yet the recent summit in Busan signals a mutual interest in easing these frictions through dialogue on trade regulations, technology, and security.

For Asia, and South Asia in particular, this bilateral relationship has shaped strategic calculations and alliances. India, for example, has continually shifted its policies to strengthen ties with the US as a counterbalance to China's growing regional assertiveness. This has led to deepened US-India defense and economic cooperation, including agreements and multilateral partnerships that aim to check China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific.

Meanwhile, Pakistan faces a more complex balancing act, as it remains a key Chinese ally deeply integrated economically and strategically through projects like the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), yet also seeks to maintain longstanding, albeit sometimes strained, ties with the United States.

The US-China rivalry thus complicates Pakistan’s diplomatic options, overlapping with its regional security concerns involving India.

The strategic rivalry also extends into the military and technological domains. The US has sought to fortify its alliances in the Asia-Pacific, particularly with India, Japan, and Australia, as a means of countering China’s military modernization and expansive ambitions.

This intensifies regional security dilemmas, where Pakistan finds itself entwined in great power competition that reflects in defense postures and intelligence dynamics. Furthermore, economic competition continues to drive a form of decoupling, as the US pursues measures to reduce dependence on Chinese manufacturing and technology, impacting regional supply chains and economic interdependence.

As the decisions and signals coming out of the Busan meeting unfold, Asia remains on edge about the implications. A de-escalation could ease trade tensions and bring stability, benefiting regional economies, while any resurgence of rivalry may intensify the push for regional alliances and security pacts.

For Pakistan and others, navigating the shifting US-China dynamics requires deft diplomacy and strategic foresight to safeguard national interests amid one of the world’s most consequential geopolitical relationships.

In sum, the US-China bilateral relationship continues to be the axis around which much of Asia’s geopolitical issues revolve. Its evolving nature will likely determine regional peace, economic growth, and the strategic disposition of South Asian nations for years to come.

The summit in Busan, therefore, represents not just another diplomatic engagement but a potential inflection point in shaping the future contours of Asian geopolitics.

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